Sunday, September 29, 2019

Why Impeachment Will Fail

For anyone with an ounce of common sense (which will automatically rule out anyone who supports the impeachment of Donald Trump) this post is going to be nothing but me stating the obvious. But sometimes the obvious needs to be stated for several reasons - first, some folks may not realize some of the points I'm going to bring up, and second, there are times when I just have to get something off my chest.

This is one of those times.

For anyone who is unfamiliar with the impeachment process (which will automatically include anyone who supports the impeachment of Donald Trump), the impeachment process works just like the Grand Jury system for the rest of the nation. If it is suspected that a crime has been committed, the DA will have the police investigate and gather evidence; if the evidence is strong enough to file charges and go to court, then the DA will do just that. If not, the DA convenes a Grand Jury and presents the evidence to the members of the jury for deliberation. If the members believe the evidence supports bringing charges against an individual, then charges are filed, the suspect is arrested, and the next stop is court. The evidence is then presented in a trial in a court of law, and the jury decides the guilt or innocence of the accused based on the evidence presented. If the suspect is found guilty, a sentence is handed down and then carried out. If the suspect is found innocent, that's it. Case closed. If the members of the Grand Jury do not find the evidence supports filing charges or fails to prove that a crime has been committed, then a "no bill" vote is returned and that's that. Case closed.

This is exactly how the impeachment process works; only the terminology is different. The House acts as the Grand Jury, and they're the ones who hear evidence and make the determination whether or not to file charges against the accused. If they find the evidence fails to provide sufficient proof that a crime has been committed and should go to trial, then that's it. Case closed. If the House finds that the evidence supports filing charges, then those charges are filed and at that point the President is deemed to have been "IMPEACHED."

The case then goes to the Senate where the trial is held. If the evidence presented fails to prove that either a crime has been committed and/or that the President is the one who committed it, then the charges are dismissed and that's it. Case closed. If the Senate finds that the evidence supports the charges and that the President committed the offense, then he is removed from office and the Vice President is then sworn in as President. Once the President has been removed from office he/she is then subject to being charged in the civilian court for the same offense; you can't charge a sitting President with a crime while he/she is in office. You have to kick them out first. That's the big thing people don't realize about the impeachment process - the process is only for removing a sitting President from office, not punishing him/her for the offense. The other thing that people don't realize about the process is that the President doesn't have to be convicted in order to be considered "impeached" - if he's brought up on charges and referred to the Senate for trial, then he/she is officially "impeached."

That's how the process is supposed to work, but as the impeachment of Bill "Slick Willy" Clinton proved, the process has one major flaw: the members of both the House and the Senate will completely ignore the evidence presented and will vote along party lines. Clinton was guilty as hell, and the videotape of his deposition proved beyond ANY doubt that he had in fact committed perjury. At that time the House was controlled by the Republicans, so Clinton was impeached. But when the trial was conducted in the Senate, even though the evidence clearly proved beyond a shadow of any reasonable doubt that Clinton was guilty as hell, the Senate members voted along party lines - and since the Demoncrats controlled the Senate, "Slick Willy" got off scot-free.

And should the House be stupid enough (or biased enough) to actually impeach Trump, I'm certain that the exact same thing will happen again since the Republicans now control the Senate. But there's one major difference between now and when Clinton was impeached, and that difference is that Trump hasn't committed a crime. Of course the Demoncrats in the House will totally ignore this and impeach anyway, but when the trial hits the Senate he's gonna walk because the Republicans will vote along party lines and find him "not guilty." Of course the difference is that in this case, that will be true - Trump hasn't committed a crime no matter how much the Demoncrats think he has.

So there are two reasons that any impeachment effort will fail: first and foremost, Trump hasn't committed a crime. And in this particular case, the entire Demoncratic party members in the House are not convinced that he has, and I don't think all of them will vote to impeach. Sure there will be a few RINOs who will vote to impeach, but I'm not so sure that the Demoncrats will have enough votes to impeach. Once the investigation they've started concludes, I really don't think they'll have the evidence to get the votes they need, so it will die right there. The division in the House Demoncrats has been deep and wide over this topic, and it took Nancy Pelosi three years to finally side with the folks who want to impeach. (More on that later this week.) That's not a good indicator for the vote.

The second reason that impeachment will fail is because the Republicans control the Senate, and even though you have a few RINOs there as well who will vote to convict, you also have enough Demoncrats who will vote against it to balance it out. In any event, the vote will be "not guilty" and that will be it - until the Demoncrats dream up something else to try it again, which will take them about 24 hours to do.

I have lost all confidence in both the Congress of the United States in general and the Demoncratic Party in particular. There isn't one single member of Congress in either houses that I'd vote to re-elect; I'm all in favor of voting them ALL out and starting over again with a clean slate. Put members in both houses who have NO ties, NO obligations, NO commitments to anyone of any kind, and then let them do what needs to be done. Our political system has become a sham and a disgrace thanks to the Demoncratic party, and it's high time to change things and fix it.

And the impeachment of Donald Trump is NOT the way to start off.

Deo Vindice

IHC

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